GFEI’s Working Paper 21 explores the trends in electric vehicle sales and examines what insights the trends in sales from 2010 to 2017 give for the future. This is based on a ‘choice model’ for five major vehicle markets worldwide: the United States, China, Germany, France, and the United Kingdom, which is based on sales, given the range of vehicle makes and models available.
GFEI partner the ICCT has conducted a wide-ranging new life-cycle assessment (LCA) of the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from a variety of passenger car powertrains and fuels. This analysis is the basis of a new briefing for the ZEV Transition Council, an international forum focused on enhancing political cooperation on the transition to zero emission vehicles (ZEVs), which includes ministers from over 50% of the global car market. The analysis shows that only full battery electric vehicles (EVs) and hydrogen fuel-cell EVs have the potential to be very low-GHG pathways, leaving the briefing to conclude that there is no realistic pathway to full decarbonization of internal combustion engine vehicles.
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